Isingeniso:
Njengoba singena maphakathi no-2026, imboni yamabhethri e-lithium ibona ukuhlukana okukhulu okuqhutshwa isidingo sokugcina amandla, izidingo zamandla e-AI, kanye nokuhlelwa kabusha kwezinto zokukhiqiza. Kusukela kudatha yokukhiqiza ephula amarekhodi e-China kuya kumaphutha amasha amabhethri, nansi izinto ezibalulekile zaleli sonto.
1. Isimo Semakethe: Idatha Ephula Amarekhodi Ye-Q1
Ngaphandle kokuba yisikhathi esivamile sokuphumula, imakethe yaseShayina yamabhethri e-lithium ibone ukukhula okuqhumayo ngoQ1 2026. Ngokwe-GGII, ukuthunyelwa okuphelele kufinyelele ku-525 GWh, ukwanda konyaka nonyaka okungu-67%.
kuyinkanyezi enkulu, ngokuthunyelwa okukhula ngo-139% YoY.
kuhlala kuphezulu. NgoMeyi 2026, izinhlelo zokukhiqiza phakathi kwabakhiqizi bamabhethri abangaphezulu kwabangu-20 bafinyelele ku-249 GWh (kwanda ngo-6% MoM), okubeka izinyanga ezintathu zilandelana zirekhoda phezulu.
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2. Umhlaba Wonke Wokuhlinzekwa: M&A Kuyashisa
Inkampani enkulu yezinto zokubheja yaseShayina iHuayou Cobalt iphakamise ukuthengwa kwe-Atlantic Lithium ngamaRandi ayizigidi ezingu-210 ukuze ilawule i-Ewoyaa Lithium Project eGhana. Lesi sinyathelo sigcizelela umkhuba oqhubekayo wokuthi imali yaseShayina iqinisekise izimpahla ezisemazingeni aphezulu e-Afrika ukuze iqinise uchungechunge lokuhlinzekwa kwezinto ezibonakalayo ze-EV boom.
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3. Izimo Zobuchwepheshe: Umjaho we-"10C" kanye ne-Solid-State
Indawo yobuchwepheshe iyashintsha ngokushesha kunanini ngaphambili:
- Ukushaja Okusheshayo Kakhulu:
I-CATL isanda kwethula ibhethri layo le-3rd Generation "Shenxing", okuyinto eyenza ukuthi ishaje ngezinga elingu-10C (kusuka ku-10% kuye ku-80% emizuzwini emi-3 nemizuzwana engu-44 kuphela). Baphinde bakhulula ibhethri elithi "Qilin Condensed Battery" elinamandla angu-350 Wh/kg okuhloswe ukuba lihambe ibanga elingu-1,500 km.
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- Amakhemistri Esikhathi Esizayo:
Abacwaningi baseNyuvesi yaseTsinghua bathuthukise ubuchwepheshe be-"molecular building block" ukuvula amathuba amabhethri e-Lithium-Sulfur (Li-S), okubalulekile emnothweni ophansi (ama-drone).
. Ngaleso sikhathi, i-CUHK ithuthukise ingubo ye-molecular ukuthuthukisa ukuzinza kwe-Lithium Metal Battery, isinyathelo esibalulekile esiya kuma-EV aphephile, aphezulu kakhulu.
4. Ukubheka Intengo: Ingabe i-Rally "Yangempela"?
Ngemuva kokuwa kuka-2022, amanani e-lithium agcina aqala ukukhuphuka. Kodwa-ke, ngokungafani nomjikelezo wokugcina, ukuhlinzekwa akusheshisi. Azikho iz project ezinkulu ezintsha eziqalisiwe kusukela ngo-2024, futhi abavukuzi bagcina isu elithi "inani phezu kwevolumu". Amabhange amakhulu afana ne-J.P. Morgan ne-Morgan Stanley manje abikezela ukushoda okuyisisekelo kusukela ngo-2026.
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