Kwenzakalani?
Kusukela ku-Q2 2026, imboni yamabhethri e-lithium yomhlaba wonke ingene esigabeni esisha somjikelezo. Izindaba ezidonsa amehlo kakhulu ukuthi i-CATL yenza izivumelwano ezimbili zesikhathi eside zokuthenga i-electrolyte ne-Capchem ne-Yongtai Technology kungakapheli izinsuku ezimbili, ivikele isamba samathani angu-770,000 e-electrolyte ka-2026-2028.
.
Lokhu akuyona into yokuthenga ejwayelekile. Ngokusekelwe kusilinganiso samathani angu-1,000 we-electrolyte nge-GWh, lesi sipho singasekele amandla ebhethri angu-770GWh—okudlula ukuthunyelwa okuphelele kwe-CATL kuyo yonke i-2025. Okuthakazelisayo, umphakeli wangaphambili owayengumphakeli wedwa, i-Tinci Materials, wayengakhohlu lwabo, okukhombisa ukuthi indawo yomphakeli iyashintsha.
.
Izizathu Eziyinhloko: Akusekho nje nge-EVs Kuphela
Izizathu zalezi zokuthenga eziningi zibangelwa ukwanda kwesidingo ezindaweni eziningi:
- Ukuqhuma Kokuphathwa Kwamandla
: Emcimbini wakamuva we-SNEC 2026, ukusayina izinkontileka zokuphathwa kwamandla kudlule i-92.7GWh
. Ganfeng Lithium reported that its storage cells are sold out, with utilization rates near 100%
.
: Electrolyte prices have surged over 70% from the 2025 low to approximately $4,100/ton currently
.
: Ukwanda kwenzuzo embonini kuyabuyela. KuQ1 2026, iTinci Materials ibone inzuzo eyengeziwe ngo-1,005.75% unyaka nonyaka, iqinisekisa umjikelezo wokukhuphuka.
.
Umbono Womhlaba Wonke: Akuyona Indaba YaseChina Kuphela
Ngenkathi iChina ilawula ngaphezu kuka-80% wokukhiqizwa kwamabhethri omhlaba wonke, isidingo siqinile emhlabeni wonke. Idatha ye-IEA ibonisa ukuthi imakethe yamabhethri e-lithium yomhlaba wonke idlule u-$150 billion ngo-2025.
. Kodwa-ke, izindawo zomphakeli eNyakatho Melika naseYurophu zibhekene nezinselelo zezindleko, izindleko zokukhiqiza ziphakeme cishe ngo-50% kunezo zaseShayina.
. Lokhu kuqinisa isikhundla saseShayina njengesikhungo esiyinhloko sezindawo zomphakeli bebhethri.
Outlook & Suggestions
For the coming market trends:
- High-end capacity remains tight
: The race to the bottom for low-end products is ending. Top-tier players with technical advantages will command higher premiums.
- Solid-state & Sodium-ion are coming
: CATL has confirmed mass production of sodium-ion batteries in 2026, bringing new investment opportunities
.
Advice for buyers: If you are sourcing cells or storage systems for H2 2026, it is advisable to secure capacity with tier-1 manufacturers now. Cheap inventory is bottoming out, and prices are likely to rise further as the traditional peak season (Q3) approaches
.