Njengoba isigamu sokuqala sika-2026 siphela, imboni yebhethri le-lithium emhlabeni wonke idlula ekuguqukeni okukhulu kwesakhiwo. Ukushintsha kusuka "empi yamanani" kuya "ekulinganiseni okuqinile kokufunwa nokuhlinzekwa" kuyisihloko esibusa le kota.
1. Ukubuka Okujwayelekile Kwemakethe: Ukugcinwa Kwamandla Kuyahola
Ngokwemibiko yakamuva yocwaningo evela kwaGoldman Sachs kanye nezinkampani ezihamba phambili zasekhaya zezimali, u-2026 yilonye unyaka wokuqala lapho i-Energy Storage idlule ngokusemthethweni amabhethri e-EV ukuze ibe umthombo omkhulu wokukhula kwezimboni ze-lithium.
.
- Abaqhubi Bembangela Yokufunwa
: Ukwanda okukhulu okubangelwa ukufunwa kwamandla okungagcini e-Data Center (AIDC), ukugcinwa kwamandla okukhulu e-US/Europe, kanye nokuguquka kwamandla eMiddle East. Amashejuli okukhiqiza kaJuni ahlala ephezulu, ngokukhula kwenyanga kuya enyangeni okungu-1%-6% kanye nokwanda konyaka kuya konyaka okungu-68%
.
: Ngemuva kokulungiswa kwangaphambili, amanani e-lithium carbonate ayaphinde anyuka, afinyelela ku-175,300 RMB/ton phakathi noJuni. Izikhungo zibikezela ukuthi amanani angase afinyelele ku-250,000 RMB/ton ngo-Q4
.
2. Izinto Ezithinta Ukuhlinzekwa: Ukulwa Ngezinsiza Kuyanda
Ibhalansi eqinile "ezinsizeni ezingenhla iyanda.
- Ukuphazamiseka Okukhulu Emhlabeni Wonke
: I-Afrika, umthombo omkhulu wokukhiqizwa kukalithiyamu okusha, ibhekene nezingqinamba zenqubomgomo. Uhlelo lwe-quota lokuthekelisa lweZimbabwe kanye nezingqinamba zokuhambisa izimpahla (isib. ukuminyana echwebeni laseBeira) kubambezela ukufika.
.
- Ukuhlanganisa Okuyinhloko Nezivimbelo
: Ukuqinisekisa izinto zokuhambisa, izinkampani ezinkulu ziyaqhubeka ngokushesha. Ekuqaleni kukaJuni, i-CATL yenza izivumelwano zesikhathi eside ezifinyelela ku-770,000 amathani e-electrolyte ne-Yongtai Technology ne-Capchem, iqinisekisa amandla okukhiqiza eminyakeni emithathu ezayo.
.
3. Imingcele Yezobuchwepheshe: Ukuqhubeka Okukhulu Kwama-Solid-State & Ibhethri Elomile
Ngenkathi amabhethri e-lithium enamanzi edlala indima enkulu, ubuchwepheshe obulandelayo buyashesha:
- Isigaba Samabhethri E-Solid-State
: I-startup yaseYurophu i-SOLiTHOR imemezele ibhethri eliqinile elifinyelele ku-465 Wh/kg. Iseli lokuhlola elingu-10Ah selivele likhona, okuhloswe ngalo imikhakha yezindiza nemikhakha ekhethekile kuqala
.
: Ngokuphumelela kwezinqubo "ezomile ngokuphelele" (ezifinyelele ku-295Wh/kg), izinkinga zokukhiqiza zamaseli angu-4680 ziyaxazululwa. Le thekhnoloji inciphisa ukusetshenziswa kwamandla ngaphezu kuka-40% futhi ivula indlela yokukhiqiza wonke amabhithi aqinile.
.
4. Umbiko Wesimo Esizayo
Esikhathini esifushane, imboni ye-lithium kulindeleke ukuthi ibone ukwanda kwamavolumu namanani, ikakhulukazi maqondana ne-Q4. Bheka abaholi abahlanganisiwe kanye nabaphakeli bezinto ezisetshenziswayo abahamba phambili kumalungelo obunikazi aqinile.